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Another term for Finland’s Sanna Marin?

The fate of Finland’s current Prime Minister, Sanna, will be decided in April’s parliamentary elections for which the latest polls put her current five-party coalition in poll position according to the latest figures.

The five-party coalition, composed of Marin’s Social Democratic Party (SDP, S&D), the Centre Party (Renew), the Greens, the Left, and the liberal Swedish People’s Party (Renew) is set to defend its majority. 

Marin’s own party, the SDP is polling slightly better than in the 2019 election (19.6% compared to 17.7% in 2019), while the support for the junior coalition partners has either remained stable or declined compared to the last election in 2019. 

The Centre Party, which is more popular in rural communities and advocates for decentralisation, is set to drop four points to 9.6%, which would be the worst result in more than 100 years. 

The Greens are set to drop two points to 9.3%, which would still be their second-best performance in a national parliament election. 

The Left is set to remain at about 8%, and the SFP remains at 4.5% in the Europe Elects polling average.

On the side of the opposition, the centre-right Kok party (EPP) is polling as the strongest individual party with about 20.8% (2019: 17.0%). 

The right-wing PS (ID) would also slightly increase its vote share from 17.5% to 19.4%, which would be a new electoral record for the party. 

The centre-right Christian Democrats are polling just like in 2019, a few decimal points below 4%.

What do you think?

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Written by Eric

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