The Champions League semi-final lineup is set, but all eyes are on Arsenal and so is the supercomputer’s prediction.
After dismantling Real Madrid with a stunning 5–1 aggregate scoreline, Arsenal have emerged as the favourites to win the 2024/25 UEFA Champions League, according to fresh data from Opta’s supercomputer. It’s a bold shift, but not an outrageous one.
Arsenal didn’t just knock out any team. They eliminated the most decorated club in Champions League history and did it with swagger.
With goals from Bukayo Saka and Gabriel Martinelli in the second leg, Arsenal became the only English side to win at the Santiago Bernabeu twice, sending a clear message to the rest of Europe: they’re not just here to compete they’re here to win. And the supercomputer agrees.
Based on countless simulations, Arsenal now hold a 28.7% chance of lifting the trophy in June. That might not sound huge, but in a four-team shootout, it’s enough to put them in front. Inter Milan are close behind with a 25.5% shot, followed by PSG (24.0%) and Barcelona (21.8%).
This means we’re heading into one of the most open Champions League finishes in recent memory.
No team has more than a 30% chance. No clear favourite. Just four teams, four different styles, four different stories. ready to make history.
But make no mistake, Arsenal’s win in Spain changed the entire mood. Yes, there was a missed Penalty from Saka in the first half. But the young star recovered brilliantly, slotting home with calm precision in the second to stretch Arsenal’s lead.
Real Madrid, stunned and chasing shadows, briefly found hope through Vinicius Jr., but Martinelli’s late goal sealed a famous night for the Gunners.
Up next? A semi-final clash with Paris Saint-Germain. Meanwhile, Inter Milan take on Barcelona in the other tie.
There’s no room for error from here. But after beating the kings of Europe in their own castle, Arsenal fans have every reason to dream. And for once, even the machines agree.
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